The Northern Gateway
pipeline, first announced by Enbridge in 2002,1
is a proposed double pipeline running a 1,177 km route from
Bruderheim, Alberta to Kitimat, British Columbia carrying 525,000
barrels of oil per day west to the coast for export, and 193,000
barrels of condensate a day back east for use in thinning oil for
transport from the tar sands.2
The route, which crosses “more than 800 streams and rivers,
including sensitive salmon spawning habitat in the upper Fraser,
Skeena, and Kitimat watersheds,”3
has led to dedicated resistance from many within British Columbia,
alongside a great many within Canada as a whole. Recommended for
approval in December 2013 by a federal Joint Review Panel with 209
conditions attached,4
the project had already met a second level of conditional approval
with the provincial government of Christy Clark when she laid out her
five conditions for similar acceptance in British Columbia in June of
the same year.5
However, until and unless all of these conditions are met, Northern
Gateway will remain stalled in the planning phase.
In full support of
the project is the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers
(CAPP), the influential advocacy group for—and legitimate
representative of—Canada's oil and natural gas industries on a
whole.6
The support stems from CAPP seeing great potential for profits from
new markets, job creation and growth, and industry expansion.
Following Northern Gateway's conditional approval, in June of 2014,
CAPP's vice-president Greg Stringham spelled out company line in a
short news release praising the decision, saying it is “another
important step for Canada to access global markets and world prices,
and earn full value for our oil resource. While more work needs to be
done to achieve this goal, significant progress has been made,
including work by the federal and B.C. governments and industry to
ensure world-class land and marine safety systems.”7
One primary goal for CAPP and the companies it represents is an
obvious one in the case of Northern Gateway: to further open Asian
markets to Canadian oil,8
even if it means ramping up tar sands production to dangerously
unsustainable levels.
On the other side
of the debate is David J. Hughes, a prolific and credited earth
scientist, president of the environmentally-minded consultancy group
Global Sustainability Research, and a senior fellow with the Post
Carbon Institute, an alternative energy think-tank based out of Santa
Rosa, California.9
His opposition stems primarily from his focus on sustainability and
issues of climate change, seeing in Northern Gateway the same
concerns shared amongst many of the projects opponents: further
potential for pollution and environmental degradation. His rationale
for opposition also extends beyond the realm of environmentalism,
however, as he argues that the relentless focus on maximizing
economic growth is too short-sighted when the non-renewable nature of
these petroleum resources is considered. Hughes argues that
“[p]roposals such as Northern Gateway ... require uncontrolled
growth to the detriment of the national interest” and that “the
non-renewable nature of the majority of the energy inputs to Canadian
society ... represents an extreme vulnerability to the long term
energy security interests of Canadians.”10
In a 31 page report on Northern Gateway published in 2011 by Forest
Ethics Canada, Hughes suggests that a National Energy Strategy geared
towards sustainably safeguarding both environmental interests and
long term energy security would be in the wisest interest of all
Canadians, as without one, “there are no constraints on the
uncontrolled liquidation of Canada’s intrinsic energy resources.”11
The Canadian
Association of Petroleum Producers, with millions of dollars in
industry money behind it, is able to afford the cost of advertising
campaigns to present its positions and push its collective agenda
nation-wide. In 2012, CAPP bought a half-page advertisement in the
Globe and Mail with a picture of an arcadian forest bathed in the
golden glow of sunrise;12
superimposed across the picture was a headline that read: “Energy
the world needs. The approach Canadians expect.”13
Shirking specific details, the only time the word 'oil' made an
appearance was in the provided URL: “OilSandsToday.ca.”14
The ad's fine print notes the homely arcadian forest is “a ...
reclaimed mining operation ... in Alberta’s vast boreal forest,
executed by [Canada's largest single source producer of synthetic
crude oil,15]
Syncrude.”16
With this, the advertisement spells out its ultimate intention to
create and peddle a friendlier image of Canadian oil, one which
associates the industry with some level of environmental
responsibility, utilizing vague feel-good mottos and pristine nature
images to this effect. Similar CAPP advertisements continue to appear
in Canadian newspapers, magazines, websites, and television, always
attempting to craft and maintain a market presence that does not
conjure up images of black crude bubbling up from within a fissured
pipeline.
David Hughes, as an
individual, doesn't have the same level of financial backing. He
does, however, have the backing of the Post Carbon Institute and is
thus able to disseminate his positions on energy via research papers
he publishes through the think-tank.17
He has separately been able to publish through other organizations as
well such as Forest Ethics Canada, as was already mentioned on the
previous page, and, as was also previously mentioned, he is the
president of the Global Sustainability Research energy consultancy
group. He has written detailed reports which have called to task many
diverse players involved in the energy market,18
including Enbridge and CAPP,19
picking apart each organization's forecast reports to create credible
contrary reports of his own. In his report “The
Northern Gateway Pipeline: an affront to the public interest and long
term energy security of Canadians,” Hughes points out that “[t]he
need for this pipeline is based on oil exports that would be
generated by the Enbridge forecast of more than tripling oil sands
production in Alberta by 2035 over 2010 production levels,”20
and that “[e]ven in CAPP’s “growth” scenario, which would see
oil sands production grow by two and a half times over 2010 levels by
2025, there is sufficient capacity in existing and near term planned
export pipelines”21
meaning, primarily for the sake of practicality, that the Northern
Gateway pipeline is not necessary, and that its supposed benefits are
deliberately embellished and/or unrealistically optimistic.
The
Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, at least until the
recent election in October 2015, spent money and effort not simply
lobbying the federal or provincial governments, but, as has been
shown, the general populace as well. In June 2014, as the debate on
Northern Gateway was at a critical pitch in British Columbia, CAPP's
Vice President yet again decided to push industry line, entering the
debate with an opinion piece in the Vancouver Sun. In it, he finishes
with a forceful plea to end one-half of the debate, demanding: “[w]e
need to turn the conversation to how we do this responsibly, not
whether we can do it at all.”22
This is, at its core, the same plea Hughes is making, though he's
directing it at the industry, pointing out that the perceived need
for the Northern Gateway pipeline is based on industry-authored
forecasts by Enbridge and CAPP which assume an “unreasonable ...
oilsands production growth rate” of more than tripling output by
2035 over 2010 levels.23
“There already is enough export pipeline capacity for a reasonable
ramp up in oilsands. You could double them and still not run out of
capacity,”24
Hughes argues. The considerably more aggressive forecast put out by
Enbridge amounts to a “no-holds-barred liquidation” of the
natural resource,25
meaning it is based on projections which imply the oilsands will be
ruthlessly stripped of all petrol-based resource value over the
course of the next couple of decades. Not only is this a very serious
environmental concern, it is also, as Hughes elaborates in the title
of his report, “[a]n affront to the public interest and long term
energy security of Canadians.”26
Even within the most reductive form of industry logic—guaranteeing
future access to petrol and opportunity for profit—this is not a
sustainable business plan. Since the project has been conditionally
approved, however, and has thus gone through the review process and
is now subject to its 209 conditions, CAPP believes that “naysayers
missed their chance.”27
After “18 First Nations, environmental groups and a labour union”28
launched an appeal directed towards overturning the regulatory
approval of Northern Gateway, Lewis Manning, a lawyer representing
CAPP, told a Federal Court of Appeal in Vancouver that “the joint
review panel made ... every conceivable effort ... to accommodate
participation and would have done its best to mitigate any
concerns.”29
Unfortunately for Manning and CAPP Vice President Greg Stringham, the
debate has not (and likely will not) move away from whether or not it
should be done in the first place, as many, including David Hughes,
would stand firm in the conviction that to “turn the conversation
to how we do this responsibly”30
may mean not doing it at all.
It
is unlikely, then, with all these factors considered, that there
would be any meaningful way to reconcile CAPP's strong position in
favour of Northern Gateway with Mr. Hughes's equally strong rebuttal.
CAPP, as the lobby group representative of Canada's oil industry on a
whole, has a salesman's mandate to embellish the facts and sell these
projects to the public. Though they are wisely responsive to
opposition and critique, they are also locked into whatever
self-aggrandizing bias is needed to push their product. David Hughes,
on the other hand, sees no good reason for the project to go ahead,
arguing that it currently undermines both the public interest and the
country's long term energy security. Though he is not necessarily
against all pipeline infrastructure, as a senior fellow with the Post
Carbon Institute he is part of an organization which is considering
alternatives to fossil fuels. It follows that he would be wary of
developing any new oil infrastructure that further locks us into an
expanded dependence for the foreseeable future. As Premier Christy
Clark has even begun to say, companies cannot simply rely on meeting
the basic legal requisites for project development and construction,
but must also secure meaningful social license in every community
affected. Otherwise, it won't matter if the debate shifts from
whether such projects can or cannot be built to how to build them
responsibly. They will simply remain stalled in the planning phase
unto perpetuity, just as the Northern Gateway project is at the time
of writing.
________________________________________________________________________________
1 - Global
News. “Northern Gateway: Timeline”. Global News, June
17th, 2014.
2 - Enbridge.
“Gateway Facts: Project Overview”. Northern Gateway official
website.
3 - Pipe
Up Against Enbridge. “The Enbridge Plan”. PipeUpAgainstEnbridge,
2012.
4 - Global
News. “Northern Gateway: Timeline”.
5 - Enbridge.
“Gateway Facts: Five Conditions”. Northern Gateway official
website, 2013.
6 - Canadian
Association of Petroleum Producers. CAPP official website.
7 - Canadian
Association of Petroleum Producers. “Northern Gateway decision
reflects measures to assure world-class safety, environmental
performance and need for ongoing consultation”. CAPP official
website. June 17th, 2014.
8 - Jones,
Jeffrey & Brent Jang. “Northern Gateway pipeline approval
boosts oil producers' Asia export hopes”. The Globe and Mail,
December 19th, 2013.
9 - Post
Carbon Institute. “Our People: David Hughes”. Post Carbon
Institute official website.
10 - Hughes,
J. David. The Northern Gateway Pipeline: an affront to the public
interest and long term energy security of Canadians, 2.
11 - Hughes,
J. David. The Northern Gateway Pipeline: an affront to the public
interest and long term energy security of Canadians, 29.
12 - Turner,
Chris. “The Oil Sands PR War”. Marketing Magazine,
July 30th,
2012.
13 - Ibid.
14 - Ibid.
15 - Syncrude.
“Abous us”. Syncrude official website.
16 - Turner,
Chris. “The Oil Sands PR War”. Marketing Magazine,
July 30th,
2012.
17 - Post
Carbon Institute. “Our People: David Hughes”. Post Carbon
Institute official website.
18 - Ibid.
19 - Hughes,
J. David. The Northern Gateway Pipeline: an affront to the public
interest and long term energy security of Canadians, 2.
20 - Hughes,
J. David. The Northern Gateway Pipeline: an affront to the public
interest and long term energy security of Canadians, 2.
21 - Ibid.
22 - Stringham,
Greg. “Opinion: Canada can develop oil sands responsibly”. CAPP
official website, June 26th, 2014.
23 - Krugel,
Lauren. “Northern Gateway unnecessary: study”. The Globe and
Mail, December 20th, 2011.
24 - Ibid.
25 - Ibid.
26 - Hughes,
J. David. The Northern Gateway Pipeline: an affront to the public
interest and long term energy security of Canadians, i.
27 - The
Canadian Press. “Northern Gateway naysayers missed their chance:
CAPP”. Maclean's, October 8th, 2015.
28 - Ibid.
29 - Ibid.
30 - Stringham,
Greg. “Opinion: Canada can develop oil sands responsibly”. CAPP
official website, June 26th, 2014.
PLEASE NOTE: THIS WAS ORIGINALLY WRITTEN AS A RESEARCH ESSAY FOR MY POLITICAL SCIENCE SPECIAL TOPIC COURSE ON PIPELINES AND POLITICS. IT IS NOT "A" GRADE MATERIAL (TO MY DISMAY), BUT IF ANYONE WISHES TO REQUEST A COPY OF THE CONNECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY FOR FACT-CHECKING OR SOURCE VETTING, YOU MAY DO SO BY LEAVING A COMMENT BELOW, OR EMAILING ME AT: katvolver@yahoo.com